Alegría vs CDF San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
VUL
1 - 4
ALE
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 1
LAK
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ZUI
0 - 2
ALE
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ALE
0 - 1
ZAR
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 0
ALE
74%
16%
9%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
CDF San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CDF
4 - 2
BRU
68%
17%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
NAN
2 - 1
CDF
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CDF
3 - 3
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
TAL
2 - 5
CDF
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CDF
1 - 2
ALA
40%
25%
36%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |