Alegría vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CDL
4 - 0
ALE
24%
23%
54%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
IZA
2 - 4
ALE
16%
20%
65%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
7 - 1
ALE
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ALE
1 - 0
BRU
60%
21%
20%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
NAN
5 - 2
ALE
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
BRU
76%
15%
8%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NAN
0 - 2
AUR
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CDV
0 - 0
AUR
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
CON
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
TAL
2 - 3
AUR
17%
23%
60%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |