Alegría vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
59.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AMU
1 - 2
ALE
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 3
CDS
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 1
CDS
26%
21%
54%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
DAC
5 - 0
ALE
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 0
CSV
7%
14%
79%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 2
ZUI
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ELP
1 - 0
ARI
31%
23%
47%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
IRU
0 - 0
ARI
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ARI
0 - 1
CDA
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
IKE
0 - 6
ARI
53%
23%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |