Alegría vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
+6
0.2%
5-0
1.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
3.9%
+4
3.9%
3-0
11.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
24.1%
+2
24.1%
1-0
34.6%
+1
34.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
24.9%
0
24.9%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 1
ELP
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CDV
2 - 1
ALE
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ALE
3 - 1
CDF
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
VUL
1 - 4
ALE
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 1
LAK
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
ARI
2 - 0
AUR
21%
24%
55%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ADC
1 - 3
ARI
17%
22%
60%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ARI
2 - 1
ZAR
60%
22%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ELP
1 - 3
ARI
47%
24%
30%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
ARI
1 - 1
ALE
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |