Alecrim vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SER
3 - 1
ALE
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 0
ALE
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ALE
2 - 0
CEN
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 2
FER
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 1
ALE
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SER
3 - 1
ALE
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FER
3 - 3
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SER
2 - 0
FER
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +3 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SER
1 - 2
CEN
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
CSA
2 - 0
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |