Alecrim vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CAM
2 - 1
ALE
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CRB
0 - 0
ALE
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ALE
1 - 1
ABC
17%
24%
59%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ALE
3 - 2
CRB
30%
27%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
ABC
1 - 1
ALE
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SAL
3 - 0
CRB
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 1
CAM
32%
27%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ABC
3 - 1
SAL
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SAL
0 - 3
ABC
19%
25%
57%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CAM
2 - 0
SAL
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |