Alecrim vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALE
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
ARN
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
GLO
32%
25%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
ALE
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 0
POT
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 2
POT
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
POT
2 - 2
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
POT
0 - 0
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
POT
0 - 3
COR
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |