Alecrim vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALE
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALE
2 - 1
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +3 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ALE
1 - 1
COR
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
ALE
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ARN
4 - 1
ALE
78%
14%
7%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
POT
1 - 0
ABC
12%
20%
68%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
POT
0 - 0
PAL
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
POT
2 - 1
ARN
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CEC
2 - 1
POT
18%
21%
62%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
POT
0 - 1
ABC
11%
19%
70%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |