Alecrim vs Parnamirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+563%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 0
ALE
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
ALE
3 - 2
RGS
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
ALE
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALE
3 - 0
RFC
67%
18%
16%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
ALE
24%
20%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Parnamirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
UVA
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
PAR
40%
21%
39%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 5
PAR
26%
20%
54%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
LAG
33%
22%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
ALE
24%
20%
56%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |