Alecrim vs Caico EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ALE
2 - 0
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ALE
0 - 2
BAR
34%
27%
40%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
ALE
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALE
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ALE
0 - 0
ARN
15%
22%
64%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Caico EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
CEC
0 - 3
ARN
12%
20%
68%
|
16 | 60 | 44 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
POT
3 - 0
CEC
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
CEC
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CEC
1 - 1
ABC
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 67 | 51 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 1
CEC
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | +1 |