Alecrim vs ASSU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
GLO
3 - 0
ALE
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 2
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 0
ALE
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
4 - 1
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
POT
1 - 1
ALE
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 2
POT
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
4 - 1
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 0
ABC
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 4
ASS
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |