Alecrim vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 3
ALE
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 1
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 1
ALE
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 1
ALE
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 2
POT
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
4 - 0
ABC
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ABC
1 - 1
ARN
31%
25%
45%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 1
ABC
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 0
GLO
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
ABC
1 - 2
SAL
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |