Alecrim vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
64.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 1
ALE
57%
22%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ALE
3 - 2
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
ALE
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 5
POT
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALE
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ABC
6 - 1
COR
80%
14%
7%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
13%
22%
65%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
ABC
2 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
POT
1 - 0
ABC
12%
20%
68%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | -1 |