Alecrim vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
68.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
CEC
2 - 1
ALE
16%
21%
63%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 3
ALE
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALE
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ALE
1 - 0
GUA
21%
26%
54%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
POR
3 - 1
ALE
55%
24%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
ABC
1 - 1
COR
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
ABC
14%
21%
66%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ABC
3 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
PPE
4 - 1
ABC
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
ABC
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |