Aldeano vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
AGO
3 - 1
ALD
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 0
CEN
51%
23%
26%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
OYO
1 - 0
ALD
76%
16%
8%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 1
ARN
23%
24%
53%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CLH
2 - 0
ALD
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
BER
36%
25%
39%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ALF
2 - 0
VIL
86%
11%
4%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 3
SMC
23%
23%
53%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PRA
0 - 0
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
VIA
36%
24%
40%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |