Aldeano vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
74.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 0
ALD
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ALD
3 - 4
HSC
47%
21%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AUT
6 - 0
ALD
76%
16%
8%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALD
0 - 3
UDL
8%
15%
77%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 0
ALD
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RAP
2 - 0
CAS
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HSC
0 - 4
RAP
12%
17%
71%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
RAP
1 - 1
AUT
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
UDL
2 - 2
RAP
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RAP
3 - 0
CFC
66%
17%
17%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |