Aldeano vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALD
48%
23%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ALD
3 - 0
HAR
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CDC
2 - 7
ALD
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +3 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALD
2 - 0
CAS
11%
19%
70%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAV
0 - 1
ALD
66%
19%
15%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RAP
3 - 5
TAT
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
RAP
1 - 1
CDL
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 1
RAP
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
RAP
2 - 0
HAR
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CDC
1 - 2
RAP
80%
14%
7%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +2 |