Aldeano vs Alfaro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
56.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PRA
3 - 0
ALD
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
YAG
4 - 1
ALD
88%
8%
3%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ALD
1 - 2
OYO
49%
23%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NAX
3 - 2
ALD
22%
21%
57%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ALD
3 - 1
HSC
18%
19%
64%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CFC
3 - 2
AUT
30%
23%
48%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 2
BAL
48%
21%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ALB
5 - 0
CFC
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CFC
3 - 1
BAÑ
37%
22%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 3
CFC
35%
23%
42%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |