Aldeano vs Cenicero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
34%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
AUT
2 - 1
ALD
79%
14%
8%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ALD
3 - 3
ALB
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CDS
1 - 1
ALD
23%
20%
57%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALD
82%
12%
7%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ALD
3 - 5
MAR
55%
19%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cenicero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CDS
1 - 1
CEN
23%
21%
56%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 1
AUT
20%
23%
57%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 1
CEN
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 1
CAL
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
CEN
48%
21%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |