Aldeano vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
50.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 0
CDF
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
SMC
2 - 1
ALD
26%
24%
51%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 1
VAR
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
HAR
7 - 0
ALD
84%
11%
4%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 2
AGO
35%
26%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALF
7%
15%
78%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
CDF
1 - 2
CAL
35%
26%
39%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 1
SMC
70%
19%
11%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 1
CAL
75%
17%
9%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 0
HAR
8%
17%
75%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +2 |