Aldeano vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
OYO
4 - 0
ALD
78%
15%
7%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ALD
2 - 1
PRA
42%
24%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CLH
6 - 0
ALD
82%
13%
6%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ALD
2 - 1
BER
50%
24%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CDE
1 - 0
ALD
78%
15%
7%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 0
UDL
16%
22%
62%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SDL
2 - 0
CAL
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 1
HAR
10%
19%
71%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
NAX
1 - 1
CAL
73%
18%
9%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
OYO
1 - 0
CAL
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |