Aldeano vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
RIV
6 - 0
ALD
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ALD
0 - 5
HAR
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALD
30%
24%
47%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ALD
1 - 3
AGO
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 1
ALD
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 0
BER
66%
20%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ALF
5 - 0
CAL
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 0
SMC
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
PRA
1 - 0
CAL
68%
18%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 0
VIA
29%
25%
47%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |