Alcoyano vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
24.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
IBI
1 - 2
ALC
67%
24%
9%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
CAT
1 - 2
ALC
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
ALC
0 - 1
ALG
37%
35%
29%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
TAL
2 - 0
ALC
60%
27%
13%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
ALC
3 - 3
CAT
72%
16%
11%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
RJA
1 - 0
CDB
55%
27%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
IBI
2 - 1
RJA
48%
30%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
RJA
5 - 0
CDF
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
ALG
1 - 0
RJA
61%
25%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
RJA
2 - 2
ANT
52%
28%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |