Alcoyano vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
17%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
ALC
1 - 1
DEN
62%
24%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
BEN
2 - 1
ALC
50%
28%
23%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
ALC
1 - 2
ALI
66%
22%
12%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ELD
0 - 2
ALC
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
ALC
2 - 0
PIN
55%
28%
17%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
PEG
1 - 1
BEN
26%
32%
43%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ALI
2 - 0
PEG
36%
31%
34%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
PEG
0 - 0
ELD
43%
29%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
PIN
1 - 0
PEG
47%
29%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
PEG
0 - 0
FOY
46%
28%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |