Alcoyano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SMR
0 - 1
ALC
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
UCA
1 - 2
ALC
58%
23%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 1
MUR
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 1
LOR
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
GET
1 - 1
ALC
75%
18%
8%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
HER
1 - 1
OLO
69%
19%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HER
2 - 1
RAY
14%
21%
66%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 0
HER
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
JOV
0 - 1
HER
11%
21%
69%
|
58 | 20 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
HER
0 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |