Alcoyano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
56.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
CEL
4 - 0
ALC
82%
13%
4%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 3
MUR
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
GIR
5 - 1
ALC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 3
CCF
20%
27%
53%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GIM
2 - 0
ALC
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
UDL
2 - 0
HER
32%
29%
39%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
NUM
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 1
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
ALM
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ELC
0 - 3
HER
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |