Alcoyano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
MHN
1 - 0
ALC
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
ALC
0 - 0
BEN
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
OLI
4 - 2
ALC
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
NUL
3 - 2
ALC
29%
30%
41%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
ALC
1 - 2
LEV
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
HER
6 - 0
IBI
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
FCB
1 - 1
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
HER
0 - 0
GIR
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
HER
0 - 1
SAN
64%
23%
13%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
LOR
1 - 2
HER
28%
30%
42%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |