Alcoyano vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
58.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MUR
3 - 2
ALC
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
GIR
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CCF
3 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 0
GIM
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
REC
19%
29%
52%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
ESP
4 - 2
CEL
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 0
GUA
72%
20%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 0
ESP
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 0
CEL
36%
27%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CEL
4 - 1
SAB
76%
18%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |