Alcover vs Icomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
58.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcover
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ARE
4 - 1
ALC
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 2
BON
39%
22%
39%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AST
0 - 3
ALC
40%
22%
39%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 2
MON
64%
18%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FES
3 - 2
ALC
53%
21%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Icomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ICO
3 - 1
MPE
60%
18%
22%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FLO
2 - 6
ICO
46%
21%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
ICO
30%
21%
49%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ICO
3 - 1
ARE
58%
19%
23%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BON
2 - 1
ICO
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |