Alcotan vs ADEF Usera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcotan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
BVV
3 - 3
ALC
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 4
CDA
44%
23%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
ALC
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 3
SVI
27%
22%
52%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
UMN
2 - 0
ALC
67%
17%
16%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ADEF Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
EFU
3 - 1
LMB
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SCA
2 - 0
EFU
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALZ
3 - 0
EFU
73%
16%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
EFU
2 - 4
BVV
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CDA
2 - 0
EFU
49%
22%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |