Alcorisa vs Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 2
ATL
51%
24%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MAE
1 - 3
ALC
18%
20%
63%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 1
AND
33%
23%
44%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ACF
2 - 1
ALC
52%
22%
26%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ALC
5 - 2
ALB
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
SAG
28%
22%
51%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
LAA
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MAE
1 - 2
HER
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
HER
1 - 3
AND
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ACF
3 - 1
HER
35%
24%
41%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |