Alcorisa vs Calamocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GAL
2 - 0
ALC
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
MAE
3 - 1
ALC
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -3 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 0
PUE
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 2
SPO
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
ALC
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
CFV
47%
26%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
UDS
0 - 4
CAL
57%
22%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
CDU
41%
25%
35%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 5
CAL
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
QUI
43%
26%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |