Alcorcón B vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
ALC
13%
21%
67%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 0
MOS
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 4
ALC
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 2
RVB
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALC
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
3 - 2
ALA
23%
24%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LEG
1 - 0
ARA
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAR
18%
24%
58%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CDM
0 - 0
ARA
78%
15%
7%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
YEB
2 - 2
ARA
20%
22%
59%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |