Alcorcón B vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
LEG
0 - 3
ALC
27%
22%
51%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
RVB
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ADA
4 - 2
ALC
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 4
VAL
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ATB
2 - 0
ALC
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
SFN
2 - 0
POZ
38%
27%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 4
SFN
46%
27%
27%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SFN
0 - 0
SIE
49%
26%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 0
SFN
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SFN
2 - 1
STA
54%
24%
23%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |