Alcorcón B vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
INT
2 - 2
ALC
26%
24%
51%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 3
COL
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 4
ALC
21%
21%
58%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CDM
1 - 2
ALC
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 2
ATB
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
SFN
1 - 1
ATB
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MEX
3 - 3
SFN
37%
26%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SFN
2 - 0
RVB
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 2
SFN
6%
16%
78%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SFN
1 - 3
SSR
31%
29%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |