Alcorcón B vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 2
ALC
13%
20%
67%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
4 - 2
MEX
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAJ
2 - 1
ALC
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
PNT
52%
24%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
TRJ
1 - 2
ALC
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SFN
1 - 1
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RMC
0 - 0
SFN
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SFN
0 - 1
ADP
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CDM
3 - 0
SFN
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SFN
2 - 1
INT
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |