Alcorcón B vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LOE
3 - 2
ALC
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ALC
7 - 2
ARY
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
INT
1 - 1
ALC
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ALC
0 - 2
VLO
21%
23%
56%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
ALC
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 1
CDF
43%
26%
32%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CDF
1 - 1
LOE
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CDF
0 - 1
YEB
62%
21%
18%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ARY
0 - 1
CDF
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CDF
2 - 1
LEG
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |