Alcolea CF vs Villanueva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcolea CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
GAL
2 - 1
ALC
38%
25%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ALC
3 - 3
MAL
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MAG
2 - 0
ALC
44%
24%
33%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
UDC
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
PEN
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villanueva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
PEN
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 1
VIL
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
6 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ADT
2 - 3
VIL
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
ZAR
57%
21%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |