Alcolea CF vs Universidad de Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcolea CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
SDB
2 - 1
ALC
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 3
TAM
20%
23%
57%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
ALC
72%
18%
11%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 4
CFA
35%
25%
40%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad de Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 1
PED
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
UNI
22%
23%
56%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 2
FRA
78%
15%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
UDC
0 - 2
UNI
12%
20%
69%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
PEN
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |