Alcolea CF vs Peña Fragatina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcolea CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AIN
1 - 1
ALC
18%
20%
62%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
SIE
71%
17%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
EST
4 - 3
ALC
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
3 - 0
BEL
58%
21%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
ALC
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Fragatina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PFR
4 - 1
PES
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ESP
0 - 3
PFR
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PFR
2 - 2
LAN
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ZAI
2 - 1
PFR
19%
22%
59%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PFR
5 - 0
ONT
90%
7%
2%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |