Alcolea CF vs Caspe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
52.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcolea CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
ALC
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 3
TAM
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
RSD
2 - 0
ALC
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
BEL
4 - 1
ALC
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ALC
4 - 0
BIN
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
GIN
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAS
25%
25%
50%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
CDA
61%
22%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BIN
1 - 0
CAS
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
UFC
34%
26%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |