Alcolea CF vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcolea CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PEN
4 - 1
ALC
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 3
CFJ
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 4
ALC
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 2
SDB
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
TAM
1 - 1
ALC
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
UDC
0 - 1
PED
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 0
UDC
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
UDC
0 - 3
FRA
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ROB
2 - 0
UDC
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 3
UDC
33%
25%
43%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |