Alcione vs UC Cairate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
ALC
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
GAV
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UBO
1 - 1
ALC
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 2
UNI
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
MAS
2 - 4
ALC
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UC Cairate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
BAS
79%
14%
8%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
UNI
15%
20%
66%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
RON
1 - 0
UNI
54%
22%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
POR
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 0
UNI
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |