Alcione vs Ghivizzano Borgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
ALC
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
RIM
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
1 - 0
ALC
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 0
ALC
64%
19%
16%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 1
RAV
19%
20%
60%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Ghivizzano Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FAN
1 - 2
GHI
73%
17%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
GHI
1 - 1
ACA
17%
21%
62%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MEZ
4 - 1
GHI
60%
22%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
GHI
1 - 2
COR
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BSD
0 - 0
GHI
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |