Alcides vs De Zweef analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
QUI
4 - 0
ALC
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 0
HEI
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TVC
1 - 2
ALC
46%
24%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 1
GER
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 1
TUB
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
De Zweef
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
DEZ
2 - 0
ORI
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
STE
0 - 2
DEZ
60%
19%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
DEZ
0 - 1
HEI
41%
23%
37%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BEM
2 - 0
DEZ
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
DEZ
2 - 2
TVC
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |