Alcides vs SWZ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RIG
0 - 2
ALC
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
3 - 1
LON
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BEQ
0 - 2
ALC
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 3
MSC
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
RKH
4 - 2
ALC
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SWZ
4 - 1
HOO
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JUL
1 - 4
SWZ
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BAB
1 - 4
SWZ
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SWZ
2 - 2
RIG
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LON
0 - 3
SWZ
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |