Alcides vs Stevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 1
ALC
59%
20%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
QUI
19%
20%
61%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GER
1 - 0
ALC
63%
20%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 2
BVC
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TUB
3 - 2
ALC
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DEZ
0 - 2
STE
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
STE
0 - 2
HEI
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ROH
2 - 3
STE
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
STE
1 - 1
TVC
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
LON
0 - 0
STE
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |