Alcides vs SDO Bussum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PUR
0 - 0
ALC
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ALC
3 - 1
MSC
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SIL
5 - 1
ALC
62%
19%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 0
HOO
55%
22%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
DEB
5 - 1
ALC
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SDO Bussum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SIL
3 - 4
SDO
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SDO
2 - 0
RKH
70%
17%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
DEM
2 - 0
SDO
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SDO
5 - 0
AWC
56%
21%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PUR
1 - 3
SDO
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |