Alcides vs SC NEC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
KOZ
5 - 0
ALC
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LON
1 - 0
ALC
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BAB
0 - 3
ALC
23%
23%
53%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
HOO
2 - 1
ALC
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MSC
0 - 0
ALC
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MSC
0 - 3
SCN
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SCN
2 - 2
RKH
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
UDI
2 - 1
SCN
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SCN
0 - 0
ROH
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BAB
2 - 5
SCN
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |