Alcides vs RKVV Velsen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
57.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
SJC
4 - 0
ALC
83%
10%
7%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 2
LEO
21%
20%
59%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 3
HOO
15%
17%
67%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HOL
3 - 2
ALC
74%
16%
11%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 5
RKA
29%
24%
48%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
RKVV Velsen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BEQ
1 - 1
RKV
56%
20%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
RKV
0 - 0
HOO
23%
20%
58%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
RKV
1 - 0
SDO
31%
22%
47%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VOC
1 - 3
RKV
37%
22%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
RKV
1 - 1
HBS
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |